Chiefs vs Bengals: Expert picks, predictions, AFC Championship props on Sunday, 2022 NFL playoff schedule
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals are set to face off in just hours in the AFC Championship Game today, with the winner clinching their ticket to Los Angeles for Super Bowl LVI. The Bengals find themselves knocking on the door of a Super Bowl berth after upsetting the No. 1-seeded Titans in the divisional round. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are entering their fourth straight conference title game after a matchup for the ages against the Bills was only decided in overtime. Will this AFC Championship match that excitement? We are about to find out.
In this space, we’ll be looking specifically at the different betting angles this match has on deck for us. Below, you’ll read CBS Sports and SportsLine’s expert picks on this game, along with a handful of player accessories that caught our eye.
What choices can you make with confidence on Championship Sunday? Visit SportsLine, as their incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has raised over $7,500 for players to $100 on top NFL picks since its inception over six years ago. Amazingly, he hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Dated: Sunday January 30 | Time: 3 p.m. ET
Site: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
TV: SCS | Flux: Paramount+ (click here)
odds: Leaders -7, O/U 54.5
Chiefs’ Bengals split their picks
Kansas City Chiefs -7
SportsLine pundit Larry Hartstein has been on fire lately, posting a 71-46-1 record in his last 118 NFL picks, which resulted in a profit of more than $1,800. He’s specifically had his finger on the pulse of the Kansas City Chiefs as he’s an incredible 24-8 in his last 32 picks involving the Chiefs, which have netted bettors $1,500-$100. For this game, we can tell you that it’s looking at total points, but to see the critical X-factor that makes it jump to one side of the gap, you’ll need to head over to SportsLine.
“It was in Week 17 that we saw the Bengals beat the Chiefs 34-31 in a classic offensive shootout that the Bengals won in the dying seconds on an Evan McPherson field goal. Sound familiar to you ?
“The Bengals lit up the Chiefs’ defense that day as Ja’Marr Chase caught 11 passes for 266 yards. The Bengals destroyed Kansas City’s blitz. The Chiefs pressed Joe Burrow that day , sacking him three times with Chris Jones getting two of them.But Burrow has been exceptional against the blitz all season – Kansas City’s main style of defense – and he’s been especially good when he cleared the backfield. After a nine-sack game last week against the Titans, it would look dicey this week, but it also leaves individual situations on the outside for Chase and Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd in the slot.
“As for the Bengals defense, they limited Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to 11 catches for 65 yards and a touchdown last game. tight ends this season. The key will be protection up front for the Chiefs in front of Mahomes. It was good last week against the Bills, but the Bengals have better rushers. The game with left tackle Orlando Brown against Trey Hendrickson will be the big Brown didn’t play in the last game.
“It will be another game between the two quarterbacks. Both will have success throwing it and both will get big numbers. At the end of the day, the Chiefs are the better team, but it will be close. It will go up over, but Kansas City will move on.” –CBS Sports senior NFL analyst Pete Prisco explains why he takes the Bengals to cover, but the Chiefs to ultimately win the AFC. To see his NFC Championship pick, click here.
“I picked against the Bengals all those playoffs. They’ve proven me wrong every week (obviously.) Well…why stop now? Especially when the Chiefs have the best young QB the game has ever seen. .” – CBS Sports NFL insider Jonathan Jones on why he’s taking the Chiefs. To read his NFC Championship pick along with his latest insider notes, click here.
“This game feels like there are shootouts written all over it. During the regular season, there were only seven teams in the NFL that gave up more than 248 yards per game and two of those seven teams are playing in this game, and I think what I’m trying to say here is that Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes could both throw 500 yards.
“Since I expect both offenses to go wild on Sunday, my choice basically comes down to which defense I think will play better and right now and I think that’s the Bengals. The Bengals are better against the race, they are better at getting sacks and although the two secondaries are roughly tied, the Chiefs face a big injury this week with Tyrann Mathieu’s concussion.
“Prior to the start of these playoffs, the Bengals had gone 31 years without winning a playoff game and they ended that drought. They had never won a road playoff game in franchise history and they have ended that. And now they have a chance to return to the Super Bowl for the first time in 33 years and the prediction here is that they will get there.” – CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech explains why he chooses the Bengals to upset the Chiefs.
Bengals to Chiefs Total Pick
“That number seems a little too low considering how powerful those two offenses are. Back in Week 17, the Bengals and Chiefs combined for 65 points and that was in a game where Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill combined for just 65 yards receiving Kansas City has dropped 42 points in consecutive games this postseason and Cincinnati has plenty of weapons around Joe Burrow to turn this thing into a running encounter if the Chiefs get seven games before the AFC Championship.” – CBS Sports NFL writer Tyler Sullivan explains why he tops the 54.5 total.
Top picks for accessories
SportsLine expert RJ White has twice taken in huge sums in the world’s most prestigious soccer handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. As we look to this AFC Championship, White is among the many SportsLine gurus who have locked down their players’ props. White expects running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire to top 37.5 rushing yards (+105), noting Kansas City’s ability to rush 155 yards without him against the Bengals in Week 17. For read the rest of the expert players’ accessories for the AFC Championship, check out SportsLine.
CBS Sports Fantasy Senior Writer Dave Richard has a slew of championship weekend prop choices. Below, you’ll find one of his go-to accessories for the Bengals-Chiefs. To read the rest of his AFC Championship fixtures as well as all of his NFC Championship picks, click here.
Joe Mixon on 30.5 receiving yds +100: “That line has gone up, so lock it down as soon as you know you like it. Mixon’s role in the passing game has gone up – he’s had at least five targets in each of his last four games and secured at least 28 receiving yards in all of them (more than 40 in three of four). Kansas City’s pass defense against running backs has ranked poorly all year, but in the last three weeks in particular, they’ve seen running backs average 4.7 yards per target. That’s not exceptionally bad, but it includes matchups against teams like Denver and Buffalo who haven’t used their backs much in the passing game. Judging by recent track records, Mixon should be a big part of Cincy’s passing effort and should be managing north of 30 yards.”