Dolphins vs Saints odds, spread, line: Monday Night Football pick, NFL model prediction on run 133-96
Saints rookie quarterback Ian Book will make his NFL debut when the New Orleans Saints host the expanding Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football. A fourth-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Book will start in place of the team’s two remaining top quarterbacks, Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian, who were placed on the reserve / COVID-19 roster. Book’s only action this year came in the preseason, when he completed 9 of 16 passes for 126 yards and an interception against the Ravens.
Kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET in New Orleans. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Dolphins as a three-point home favorite, while the Over-Under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks it will be scored, is 37.5 in recent Dolphins vs Saints odds. Before making Saints vs. Dolphins and NFL predictions, be sure to Find out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has risen more than $ 7,000 per 100 players on the NFL’s top picks since its inception over six years ago. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021 season on an incredible 133-96 run on the NFL’s top picks stretching back to the 2017 season.
The model has also made the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on NFL direct picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Whoever followed him is very high.
Now the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Saints, and has just locked his predictions and his Monday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Now here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the Dolphins vs Saints:
- Propagation Dolphins vs. Saints: Dolphins -3
- Dolphins vs Saints over-under: 37.5 points
- Dolphins vs. Saints currency line: Saints +145, Dolphins -170
- MIA: Dolphins are 7-7 ATS in 2021
- NO: Saints are 7-6-1 ATS this season
Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Miami Dolphins
Why dolphins can cover
Rookie linebacker Jaelan Phillips was a dynamic playmaker during the winning streak. In the last six games, he’s had seven sacks, the fifth-biggest in the league since Week 9. He’s helped Miami register 25 sacks since Week 9, leading the NFL in that span.
Additionally, the Dolphins could pick up wide receiver Jaylen Waddle on Monday. Waddle, who missed out on last week’s victory over the Jets while on the reserve / COVID-19 roster, leads the team in receptions (86), receiving yards (849) and is at tie for the team for touchdowns received (four). He’s on track for 105 receptions this season.
Why Saints Can Cover
New Orleans faces quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who has struggled with the Cover-1 defense this season. Against Cover-1, Tagovailoa ranks 28th in 32 quarters in yards per completion (10.3), 24th in yards per attempt (6.4) and 26th in touchdown percentage (2.1). That bodes well for a Saints defense that has lined up in Cover-1 on 29% of its defensive shots this season, the eighth-highest rate in the NFL.
Additionally, New Orleans has the ability to put pressure on Tagovailoa. Defensive ends Jordan Cameron and Marcus Davenport have 12.5 sacks this season. They present a formidable challenge for Miami’s offensive line, especially right tackle Jesse Davis, who has struggled against strong defensive ends this season.
How to make Dolphins vs Saints choices
The SportsLine model looks at the total, projecting 35 points scored. The model also indicates that one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only see the choice Saints vs. Model Dolphins on SportsLine.
So who wins the Saints over the Dolphins in Monday Night Football? And which side of the gap reaches almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Dolphins you must jump, all from model 133-96 on NFL picks, and find out.