Odds, line, Broncos vs. Browns spread: Thursday night football pick, NFL model predictions on 125-85 race
The Cleveland Browns (3-3) and Denver Broncos (3-3) meet in a critical AFC showdown on Thursday night in Week 7. Both teams enter the match-ranked top-five. the NFL in total defense. The Browns have the second largest defense in the standings, while the Broncos sit fourth, and both teams are 3-3 ATS in 2021. Thursday Night Football is crucial for both teams as they seek to put end to the losing streak, but the Browns will be without quarterback Baker Mayfield (shoulder) and running backs Nick Chubb (calf) and Kareem Hunt (calf).
FirstEnergy Stadium kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET. Cleveland is favored 1.5 points in recent Broncos vs. Browns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 40.5. Before locking in the Browns vs. Broncos, you need to view the NFL forecast and analysis from the proven SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up nearly $ 7,700 per 100 players on the NFL’s top picks since its inception over six years ago. He enjoyed a 24-14 sizzle over the NFL’s top-rated picks last season, grossing over $ 800. The model also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-85 run on the NFL’s top picks stretching back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on NFL direct picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Whoever followed him is very high.
Now the model has simulated Browns against the Broncos 10,000 times and has just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the Browns vs. the Broncos:
- Spread Broncos vs Browns: Browns -1.5
- Over-under Broncos vs Browns: 40.5 points
- Broncos silver line vs. Browns: Cleveland -125, Denver +105
- CLE: Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on Thursday
- DEN: Over is 4-1 in Broncos’ last five games after direct loss
Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos
Why the Browns can cover
The Browns were hit hard by the injury virus in 2021. Odell Beckham Jr., Nick Chubb, Jack Conklin, AJ Green, Kareem Hunt, Baker Mayfield, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Malcolm Smith, JC Tretter and Jedrick Wills all missed practice Monday, and several other key players were on the team’s injury report.
With Mayfield unable to leave, the Browns will look to replacement veteran Case Keenum, who was Denver’s 2018 starting quarterback. Ernest Johnson is expected to start racing for Cleveland.
Defensively, the Browns are in better shape, but still have several players struggling with nagging injuries. With Denver’s offensive line struggling, Garrett and fellow defensive end Jadeveon Clowney could have a day on the field.
Why the Broncos can cover
Wide receiver Tim Patrick stepped up in the absence of fellow wide receiver Jerry Jeudy. The latter suffered a sprained ankle in week 1 which caused him to miss the last five games. Patrick is second on the team with 344 yards on 25 receptions with three touchdowns. He is also second on the team with 57.3 yards per game and 13.8 yards per reception.
Tight end Noah Fant also played for the Broncos. Fant is an athletic tight end who can make defenders miss in an open space. The Iowa product had 30 passes for 273 yards with three touchdowns. Three of Fant’s receptions totaled over 20 yards. He just had his best game of the season against the Raiders in which he caught nine passes for 97 yards and one score.
How to make Broncos vs. Browns picks
SportsLine’s model looks at total points, projecting teams to combine for 44 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap reaches more than 50% of the time. You can only see the Broncos vs. Model’s Browns on SportsLine.
So who wins the Browns over the Broncos in Thursday Night Football? And which side of the gap reaches more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side the Browns vs. Broncos spread, all from the advanced model that raised nearly $ 7,700 on its NFL picks, and find out.